I watched Bajaj Auto shares tumble nearly 4% today and I’ll be honest it made me pause. On paper the company’s Q1 results looked strong. Profits were up 14% year-on-year. Revenues climbed to ₹13,133 crore. Exports hit a record high. And yet the market shrugged. Actually it frowned.
So what’s going on?
It’s one of those classic market moments where perception outweighs performance. Yes Bajaj Auto is growing in all the right places like premium bikes electric scooters and exports. The Chetak EV more than doubled its retail numbers. Triumph and KTM are riding high. Even their commercial vehicles have stayed on track for eight straight quarters. All this should have sent the stock soaring. But the catch is margins.
The company’s operating margin fell 50 basis points from the previous quarter. It doesn’t sound like much but in this space every point tells a story. Management blamed lower dollar realization which is something many exporters are battling. Even with a better product mix it wasn’t enough to soothe investors.
Brokerages aren’t aligned either
Nuvama and Avendus say Buy but with lowered targets. JM Financial is playing it safe with a Hold. And Motilal Oswal gives a straight Neutral pointing to lost market share at home and a slow-moving CNG bike strategy.
Now here’s the part that hits home for me as someone who watches this market closely. Bajaj Auto shares are caught between solid long-term potential and short-term uncertainty. If you’re in it for the long haul the growing EV footprint and global expansion look promising. But if you’re hoping for quick gains this could be a bumpy ride.
The dip may not mean danger but it does mean pause Think through your risk appetite. Me I’m watching closely but not selling. Not yet.